Page 7 - TeamStrunz_e_mobil_structure_study_en

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CORE FINDINGS AND IMPLICATIONS
• Drivetrain electrification is in full swing and no longer just a
vision of the future. Hence, over time, electrification will incre-
ase through the various forms of hybrid (mild hybrid, full hybrid,
plug-in hybrid, range extender) to the pure electric vehicle.
• In 2020, approximately 50 percent more passenger vehicles
will be sold worldwide than are currently being sold. In relative
terms, the proportion of passenger vehicles with a pure com-
bustion engine should drop from today’s figure of approximately
98% to around 67% in 2020. The share of pure battery electric
vehicle designs could be approximately 5 percent by the year
2020.
• Virtually half of worldwide market potential (growth) in the
year 2020 is allotted to components of the electrified drivetrain
(electric motor, power electronics, battery system, charger),
this represents a value of approximately 100 billion EUR.
• Significant cost reduction potential is anticipated in the manu-
facturing of new components. Nevertheless, by 2020, pure bat-
tery electric vehicles will have significantly higher production
costs as compared to conventional internal combustion ve-
hicles. In a future buying decision, in addition to the purchase
price, all of the operating costs of the vehicle (costs for fuel,
electricity, taxes, insurance and maintenance) will also play an
important role.
• As a cross-industry development, electromobility will not only
have an influence on the automobile industry; it will also lead
to a convergence of the automobile, ICT, and energy sectors.
Innovative business models and evolving user behavior also
come into focus.
• This change will also involve developments in the areas of pro-
duction technology and qualification of employees. This is why,
in addition to new competences in processing and manufac-
turing, training and education as well as continuing education
content must also be extended and adapted.
• Baden-Württemberg is well-positioned as a technology loca-
tion for electromobility. In research and development (R&D) of
electrified drivetrain components and the associated charging
infrastructure, due to the collaboration of higher education, re-
search institutes and companies, a solid foundation exists that
must be further extended in the future.
• In order to generate significant employment effects in the state,
it is important to generate extensive depth in value creation for
the „new drivetrain components“. In this regard, R&D findings
must be transferred to industrial manufacturing. Plant enginee-
ring and mechanical engineering, which is outstandingly positi-
oned in the state, can and must accompany this process.
• Great potential for value creation and job creation in the sta-
te are offered by the conventional technologies (transmission,
efficiency technologies and the exhaust systems combustion
engines), as well as by the new components, such as power
electronics, electric motors and particularly the battery system.
• In the year 2020 in Baden-Württemberg, with optimal exploita-
tion of existing potential, approximately 10,000 new jobs could
be generated through the „new drivetrain components“. The
relatively high value of the new components and the relatively
high degree of automation in manufacturing offer good overall
prerequisites for regional manufacturing.
• As essential stakeholders in the Baden-Württemberg automo-
bile value creation landscape, small and medium-sized enter-
prises must be actively integrated into the knowledge transfer
processes of large enterprises and research institutes. A com-
petitive „electromobile“ value creation structure can only be
holistically established in the state through the competencies
of medium-sized companies.